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Adaptive Robust Confidence Bands on Local Polynomial Regression Using Residual Bootstrap Percentiles


 
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1. Title Title of document Adaptive Robust Confidence Bands on Local Polynomial Regression Using Residual Bootstrap Percentiles
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Abil Mansyur; Universitas Negeri Medan; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Elmanani Simamora; Universitas Negeri Medan; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Muliawan Firdaus; Universitas Negeri Medan; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Tiur Malasari Siregar; Universitas Negeri Medan; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Rizki Habibi; Universitas Negeri Medan; Indonesia
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) Huber weights; Local polynomial regression; Outliers; Residual bootstrap percentiles; Robust confidence bands; Tukey weights
 
4. Description Abstract Ensuring reliable inference in local polynomial regression requires robust methods that can manage data irregularities, particularly outliers. This study introduces an adaptive robust approach for constructing confidence bands using residual bootstrap percentiles. Two robust weighting techniques (Huber and Tukey) were applied to address different levels of data contamination. The method was evaluated using both simulated datasets and real-world observations involving fluctuating patterns. Huber weighting produced more stable and narrower confidence bands under moderate anomalies, while Tukey weighting was more effective in handling extreme deviations. These differences arise because Huber downweights moderate residuals proportionally, whereas Tukey aggressively suppresses extreme outliers. Smoothing parameters were optimized through cross-validation to balance bias and variance effectively. This approach enhances the robustness of nonparametric regression because it maintains consistent confidence coverage despite data imperfections, offering a reliable tool for statistical inference in complex datasets.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s)
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2025-03-24
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier https://ejournal.upi.edu/index.php/ijost/article/view/84323
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier (DOI) https://doi.org/10.17509/ijost.v10i2.84323
 
11. Source Title; vol., no. (year) Indonesian Journal of Science and Technology; Vol 10, No 2 (2025): (ONLINE FIRST) IJOST: September 2025
 
12. Language English=en en
 
13. Relation Supp. Files
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
15. Rights Copyright and permissions Copyright (c) 2025 Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia
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